Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.953932 2.224714 2.522283 2.874016 3.279022 3.731461 4.276183
2025-11-23 1.560424 1.917871 2.343996 2.891328 3.578435 4.416013 5.519833
2025-11-30 1.362797 1.783768 2.320584 3.059737 4.057986 5.369088 7.237572
2025-12-07 1.188542 1.639595 2.248185 3.136973 4.414604 6.204104 8.934330
2025-12-14 1.026697 1.480879 2.123883 3.111610 4.610236 6.830359 10.427172
2025-12-21 0.880738 1.320152 1.968694 3.009804 4.666085 7.244446 11.651230
2025-12-28 0.818973 1.273222 1.970784 3.138905 5.084154 8.261627 13.984245
2026-01-04 0.763061 1.226422 1.964234 3.248673 5.479944 9.291448 16.501094
2026-01-11 0.707312 1.171863 1.936513 3.316102 5.808212 10.246308 19.036051
2026-01-18 0.655597 1.117110 1.900480 3.361699 6.099698 11.170651 21.660903
2026-01-25 0.592854 1.035847 1.808768 3.294325 6.171543 11.693433 23.580200
2026-02-01 0.528381 0.944322 1.688329 3.157735 6.090805 11.906410 24.892676
2026-02-08 0.483805 0.885875 1.624558 3.126868 6.225176 12.590166 27.384481
2026-02-15 0.441185 0.826661 1.553114 3.072571 6.306073 13.179944 29.790585
2026-02-22 0.426506 0.819179 1.579759 3.219578 6.830109 14.797334 34.889514
2026-03-01 0.404243 0.794264 1.569003 3.286821 7.190555 16.109846 39.521845
2026-03-08 0.374247 0.750516 1.515134 3.254075 7.320981 16.913006 43.033346
2026-03-15 0.340361 0.695271 1.431466 3.144746 7.257815 17.244519 45.373455
2026-03-22 0.330867 0.690369 1.453969 3.278961 7.795266 19.138497 52.377539
2026-03-29 0.320209 0.681789 1.467387 3.393509 8.301482 21.038584 59.826136
2026-04-05 0.306875 0.665907 1.462730 3.463956 8.706292 22.740760 67.078844
2026-04-12 0.292914 0.647189 1.449557 3.511648 9.058790 24.361139 74.457392
2026-04-19 0.272279 0.611148 1.392350 3.441001 9.082268 25.061724 79.054279